Tahoe is still being haunted by one route decision: investigators say the skiers and their guides may have taken an exit rated “Complex” for avalanche exposure — even though a longer option was labeled “Simple.” Families say they’re left with too many unanswered questions. And until officials confirm the exact route and the decision chain behind it, one shadow hangs over everything: why move that day — and who made the call?

Skiers in deadly Tahoe avalanche appear to have taken route rated most dangerous option

The Nevada County Sheriff’s Office said it was investigating why four guides and 11 skiers decided to venture into extreme weather rather than stay at the Frog Lake huts, and whether criminal negligence was a factor in the tragedy.
The Nevada County Sheriff’s Office said it was investigating why four guides and 11 skiers decided to venture into extreme weather rather than stay at the Frog Lake huts, and whether criminal negligence was a factor in the tragedy. William Hale Irwin/For the S.F. Chronicle

The 11 skiers and four guides hit by a deadly avalanche after leaving backcountry huts near Donner Summit appear to have taken a route out of the wilderness that includes terrain that had been rated significantly more dangerous for such slides than that of a longer, slower exit route, interviews and documents show.

Nine members of the group were confirmed or feared dead, including six women who were friends from the Bay Area, Tahoe and Idaho, and three employees of Blackbird Mountain Guides.

8 skiers dead after avalanche near Lake Tahoe

Based on the location of the disaster, it appears the group left the Frog Lake huts before noon on Tuesday and headed northwest on the Castle Peak trailhead route, which ends on the north side of Interstate 80 across from Boreal Mountain Resort. It’s unclear where the guides and clients parked their vehicles.

According to the Truckee Donner Land Trust, which owns the ski huts, that route traverses below slopes as steep as 60 degrees and is rated “complex” or “Class 3” on the Avalanche Terrain Exposure Scale, the second-most-dangerous score below “Extreme.” The scale, known as the ATES, was developed by Canada’s parks agency and is widely used in the U.S.

The land trust states that people using the Castle Peak route can choose from multiple different sub-routes to get through the difficult terrain nearest the huts, with those options “generally getting easier the farther west you go.” The land trust advises, “Pick the best option for avalanche conditions and your abilities.” It’s not clear if the group hit by the avalanche was trying to avoid the most dangerous parts of the Castle Peak route.

East of the huts, documents and maps show, is a longer, flatter route toward Johnson Canyon, rated on the land trust website as “simple” or “Class 1.” The lowest level is “Class 0,” describing “no known exposure to avalanches.”

Typical winter routes to the Frog Lake Huts

Authorities have not released the exact route the ski group took. These routes show two of the

recommended paths that are used to reach the Frog Lake Huts. Weather conditions may

force groups to alter parts of the route.

Avalanche Terrain Exposure Scale (ATES)

Categorizes the risk of traveling in avalanche terrain.

Map: John Blanchard/S.F Chronicle • Sources: Truckee Donner Land Trust, Sierra Avalanche Center,

USGS, The National Map: National Boundaries Dataset, 3DEP Elevation Program

The roughly 100-yard-wide avalanche struck near the start of the group’s journey away from Frog Lake, where they had enjoyed three days of backcountry skiing before a massive storm blew in.

The Nevada County Sheriff’s Office said it was investigating why the group decided to venture into extreme weather rather than stay at the huts, and whether criminal negligence was a factor in the tragedy. As authorities sought Thursday to recover the bodies of the victims amid the continuing storm, Cal/OSHA, the state’s workplace safety agency, said it opened a separate probe into Blackbird Mountain Guides.

9 California skiers still missing after avalanche; 6 rescued

Family members of the group of women who died released a statement Tuesday saying they had “many unanswered questions.”

“Eight close friends planned a professionally guided, two-night backcountry hut trip to Frog Lake Huts outside Truckee, Calif.,” the statement said. “The trip had been organized well in advance. They were experienced backcountry skiers who deeply respected the mountains. They were trained and prepared for backcountry travel and trusted their professional guides on this trip. They were fully equipped with avalanche safety equipment.”

Neither the guide company nor the nonprofit land trust immediately answered questions about the routes sent by the Chronicle.

Blackbird Mountain Guides founder Zeb Blais said in a statement that “guides in the field are in communication with senior guides at our base, to discuss conditions and routing based upon conditions. There is still a lot that we’re learning about what happened. It’s too soon to draw conclusions, but investigations are underway.”

A frequent Frog Lake visitor, Jim Zellers, said in an interview that it was not clear whether the guides erred if they chose the westward route, given the limited information available so far. Ideally, the backcountry snowboarder said, a person confronted with such inclement weather would stay in the huts and wait it out, but he added that there could have been extenuating circumstances.

Which way to exit would depend on a variety of factors, he said, including the direction of the storm, the conditions of the guests and familiarity with the routes, among others.

“You cannot start judging,” said Zellers, who has visited the huts about 40 times and helped build some of its furniture. “It’s a terrible place to go. Those of us who are experienced are just sad; the less experienced are judging.”

What Caused the Deadly Tahoe Avalanche?

He noted that while there’s less avalanche risk on the Johnson Canyon route, it is harder to navigate, particularly in whiteout conditions and if a guide is not used to traveling that direction.

The Land Trust, which rents out the huts, hosts a page on its website dedicated to the winter routes. “All the routes listed in this guide have some degree of avalanche hazard,” the site warns.

It advises skiers to check the Avalanche Terrain Exposure Scale ratings for each route, as well as to monitor daily avalanche forecasts. The Sierra Avalanche Center issued an avalanche warning around 5 a.m. on the day the group left the huts.

From the huts, the Castle Peak trailhead is about 3.5 miles away. The land trust says the route “should only be attempted by experienced backcountry users with appropriate avalanche conditions.”

The alternative option is the 4.5-mile Johnson Canyon route to the east. In the first stages of descent, the trust says, skiers encounter some slopes, but explains they are not nearly as steep and consistent as the route to the west.

“Isolated small areas of avalanche terrain could be encountered through this section,” the trust writes, “but with careful route finding, most all avalanche terrain can be avoided with limited exposure.” The final stages of that route are mostly below the tree line and “low angle terrain,” the site adds.

The simple, Class 1 designation indicates “exposure to low angle or primarily forested terrain,” according to the American Avalanche Association. “Some forest openings may involve the runout zones of infrequent avalanches and terrain traps may exist. Many options to reduce or eliminate exposure.”

Meanwhile, the complex, Class 3 designation refers to “exposure to multiple overlapping avalanche paths or large expanses of steep, open terrain. Sustained exposure to overhead hazard. Many avalanche starting zones and terrain traps with minimal options to reduce exposure.”